*** Un [[conflit]] intra-étatique est un affrontement armé qui se déroule à l'intérieur des frontières d'un [[État]], opposant généralement le gouvernement central à un ou plusieurs groupes armés non-étatiques, ou différents groupes entre eux. Mais la fin du XXe et le début du XXIe voit les [[guerre civile]] Concerne un seul État avec plusieurs groupes sociaux concernés Les guerres civiles peuvent aussi s'internationaliser form of [[guerre|war]] that doesn't involve two [[État|states]] on average, civil wars : - involve 100k people - last 10 years - won by government [[rebel groups]] see: *[[international civil wars]]* [[symetric civil wars|conventional civil war]] Today civil war is the dominant form of conflicts. [[guerre civile|civil wars]] outnumber the typical form of conflicts[^1] and last much longer. Some of them last for decades, while interstate conflicts doesn't do so. [[guerre civile|civil wars]] are much more likely to not end with [[traité de paix|peace treaty]] and when it does it is likely to not last [[guerre civile|civil wars]] your stock of ongoing conflicts is growing because this kind of conflict last The increase of the average duration of [[guerre civile|civil wars]] is a pattern specific to the [[guerre froide|cold war]]. average [[guerre civile|civil war]] after the cold war = *15 years* They are proxi-[[guerre|wars]], not direct [[guerre|wars]]. = guerre indirecte The duration of the [[guerre civile|civil wars]] increased also because of the [[Décolonisation]]. The new [[État|states]] were much more vulnerable to [[guerre civile|civil wars]]. Some of them suffered from instability -> ex : Spanish [[guerre civile|civil war]] (July 1936 - April 1939) nationalist against republicans. Victory for the nationalists -> ex : Sri Lanka [[guerre civile|civil war]] (1983 - 2009) Rebels tried to separate from the central government but they lost. Resulted in 100k deaths -> ex : Myanmar armed conflict. Small armed groups are either marxist or nationalist and they fight against each other. [[causes des guerres civiles]] [[civil wars destabilize countries durably]] *three types of civil wars* [[conflit asymétrique|guerillas]] [[symetric civil wars]] [[symmetric non-conventional civil war]]s *types of death caused by civil wars :* -> [[non-combatant victims]] -> [[collateral victims]] -> [[Deliberate violence]] ## Notes de bas de page ``` dataview TABLE length(file.outlinks) AS "Liens sortants", length(file.inlinks) AS "Liens entrants" WHERE file.path = this.file.path ``` [^1]: [[guerre interétatique]]